Monday, July 25, 2011

Apple Insight/Monster Portfolio 2011 Week 28 Results



MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011


Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 27 07/22/11
$2,525.70 Stock
$32.85 Cash
Total $2,558.55

Since Inception: +3.36%

Excluding cash inflow of $500.50 we have a balance of $2,058.05.  Wow it has been a wild ride.  I’m finally back in the black as my portfolio closed in the positive. 5 weeks ago I was down -20.16%.  I made some big bets and they paid off!  I went on a run and was able to tack on $468.47 in added value to the Monster Portfolio 2011.  A +23.52% move.  That’s an average of 4.7% per week.  I’m now within striking distance of my goal for the year of up +10.0%

I briefly touched on Apple last Tuesday, but now I will get into more detail.  I’m going to re post some old information with some added insight to Apples results (This checklist is great!)

-Highest quarterly revenue in Apple’s history

-Record sales for the iPhone and iPad

-Record June sales for Mac

-$28.57 billion in sales yoy growth of 82% (yoy stands for year over year growth)

-Net Profit $7.31 Billion EPS of $7.79 a share


 Units sold per product


-9.25 million iPads sold in June quarter.  A 183% unit increase over a year ago qtr

-20.34 million iPhones sold vs. 8.4 million sold.  A 142% yoy growth

-3.95 million Macs sold.  A 14% yoy growth vs. the market growth of 2.6%

-7.54 million iPods sold vs. 9.4 million.  A decrease of 1.06 million iPods sold

As you can see from the numbers the iPad and iPhone sales are on fire.  Triple digit growth is unheard of and Apple continues to deliver!  Other positive points include

-iPod sales are down, but Apple still has over 70% of the mp3 market

-iPhone is available through 228 carriers and sold in 105 countries

-iTunes generated $1.4 Billion in revenue.  A 36% increase yoy growth

-Store sales increased to $10.8 million per store vs. $9 million with a total of 325 Stores

-Apple sold every iPad they could make

I’m upbeat on Apple’s outlook.  With the soon launch of iCloud and the up and coming release of the iPhone 5 Apple should continue to have record breaking quarters!  Even at $398.50 a share the stock is still cheap. My recommendation is to wait for some weakness in the stock and load up on the way down.  Check out Apple's chart!  It has been on a tear!


Tomorrow we have (WFT) Weatherford International reporting earnings.  This stock has let me down numerous times, so I’m not going to say a word.  Since my last purchase of WFT I have a 9.59% lead.  If the numbers and outlook are bad I will sell this stock in a heartbeat!  I will lock in my gains and move on.  From the recent buying activity I don’t see this happening, but I have to stay cautious.  With the recent news from Schlumberger and Baker Hughes stating the international business is coming back I believe WFT won’t let me down.  I’m also interested to see what (F) Ford has to say tomorrow.  I may be a buyer depending on the outlook. 

(WFT) Weatherford International 3 month Candle Stick Chart.  Strong momentum to the upside

  
Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT)

(All Apple data was provided by the companies conference call)

Clay-

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Apple Crushes Earnings!!!!

Just a list of Apple stats from their recent earnings blow out!

-$28.57 billion in sales

-EPS of $7.79

Units sold per product

-9.25 million iPads
-20.34 million iPhones
-3.95 million Macs
-7.54 million iPods

Margins were at 41.7% beating the anaylsts expectations of  39.1%

I will have more info after I listen to the conference call. All in all it was a great quarter and I'm excited to own a little Apple stock.  These are the days I truly enjoy!  The reason I love investing in stocks.  The game changers!

Have a great night!

Clay-

all research done on at Yahoo Finance

Monday, July 18, 2011

WFT/Monster Portfolio 2011 Week 27 Results

Welcome back everyone! 

Today I'm going to talk briefly about (WFT) Weatherford International and why I believe this stock will go higher. 

I first would like to disclose I repositioned myself last week and I’m now heavily invested in (WFT) Weatherford International.  I tried to hold out for a purchase price under $18 a share, but I decided to pull the trigger early and load up right before earnings.  With the recent blowout quarter from (HAL) Halliburton this morning I believe Weatherford will have good things to say as they are the company that has been a laggard over the past 2 quarters.   I’m not worried about the North American business as the numbers should be strong.  

The game changer with Weatherford is their international business.  I want to hear some talk about increased activity overseas next week.  If this happens I have no doubt this stock will go much higher.  Why? Because the North American business should stay strong/flat into 2012 and added strength internationally will drive earnings much higher.  WFT positioned themselves to take advantage of the overseas market and so far that bet hasn’t paid off.  I know that is what many investors are waiting for with Weatherford and the stock price already reflects the negativity of their poor performance.  It’s clear as day that Weatherford is leveraged overseas.  Now is the time to bet on WFT!  Time to make some money! 

If WFT doesn’t work out I have Apple to back me up as they are set to report earnings tomorrow.  With an $8.88 or a +2.43% move today investors are optimistic that Apple will deliver on earnings.   I still think Apple has plenty of room to run as the stock price has only moved 9.16% since their great earnings report back on April 20th.  For a company that has phenomenal growth and products this stock should be into the $400’s by now.  I’m crossing my fingers!

MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011

Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 26 07/15/11
$2,377.56 Stock
$15.35 Cash
Total $2,392.91

Since Inception:

Excluding cash inflow of $483.00 we have a balance of $1,909.91, which equates to being down -4.07%

Have a great night!     

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT)

Clay-

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Monster Portfolio 2011 Week 26 Results

MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011

Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 25 07/08/11
$1,260.93 Stock
$1,117.47 Cash
Total $2,378.40

Since Inception: -3.92% excluding cash inflow

I’m getting closer to breaking even!  I’m sad to say I sold out the rest of Westport Innovations (WPRT) on Wednesday of last week at $24.45 a share.  WPRT took a big hit yesterday and I was hoping to slide back in over the next couple days.  Unfortunately, I will not get that chance because of the exciting news that Chesapeake Energy (CHK) will invest $150 million into Clean Energy (CLNE) the infrastructure play on natural gas.  What does this have to do with Westport?  According to yahoo finance linked through cnbc.com

http://www.cnbc.com/id/43725400?__source=yahoo%7Cheadline%7Cquote%7Ctext%7C&par=yahoo

“The plan is to ultimately build 150 stations along interstate highways to provide natural gas, as well as put pumps into existing truck stops.”  This is great news for Westport as it’s one step closer to push the acceptance of natural gas into the United States.  Click on the link above to read the full story.  With the current close of $26.30 up 8.59% on the day I gave up roughly a $40.00 gain.  I’m not too upset as I’m sure I helped some of you make some serious money over the past few weeks with WPRT.  I continue to back WPRT, but I would not chase this stock at its current level.  In the meantime I will have to sit on the sidelines and hope this dynamite stock pulls back to a level I’m comfortable with putting money to work! 

As of today I reinvested some of my money back into the out of favor oil service company Weatherford International (WFT).  I can’t and will not give up on this company!  They have too much potential, as they are set perfectly to take advantage of elevated oil prices.  I’m hoping the stock will trade down into the low to mid 17’s.  If I don’t get that opportunity I will gladly add to my position reaching no farther than a high 17 price point.  Sometimes you have to make a big bet on an ugly stock!  My recent purchase of WFT will not reflect in my portfolio until next week.

Have a great night!     

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT)

 Clay-

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Monster Portfolio 2011 Week 25 Results

MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011


Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 24 07/01/11
$1,727.04 Stock
$593.53 Cash
Total $2,320.57

Since Inception: -5.94% excluding cash inflow

Thank you Westport Innovations!  Since I made a bet on WPRT a few weeks ago I was able to bring the monster portfolio back from a massive deficit.  Last week I was able to gain +9.87% with WPRT doing the heavy lifting.  In 2 weeks I went from being down -20.16% to narrowing my losses to a sweet -5.94%.  It was pretty grim for awhile. LOL!  I still have plenty of time to get back into the green on the year.  I’m determined to do so!

Last week was phenomenal for stocks.  From the recent strength in stocks I was able to sell a large position in WPRT.  I still like the stock, but when a company increases in value +16.5% in 5 days you would be crazy not to lock in some profits.  Now that I have some cash on hand I will be set up for the next money making opportunity.  Stocks are back in favor and money should continue to flow back into the stock market.  Especially my favorite stock Apple.  Since Apple bottomed on June 20th it has run up +10.81% as of today’s closing price of $349.43. $$$ I also have refocused my attention back to Weatherford International (WFT).  The current price is still below the insider purchase that occurred back on 05/17/11 at $19.18 a share.  I may start a position in WFT with some weakness over the next few days.  With earnings right around the corner WFT should gradually work its way higher. 

As you can tell I always work my way back to my favorite stocks.  If a company continues to make me money I’m happy.  Why change a good thing?   

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Westport Innovations (WPRT)

Clay-