Monday, November 28, 2011

1 month to go! Time to take some risk.


MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011



Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 45 11/25/11
$2,257.32
$4.95 Cash
Total $2,262.27

Since Inception: -16.79%

Back out cash inflow and we have a balance of $1,656.77

I think I can honestly say that the past 2 weeks in the stock market has been detrimental to my Monster Portfolio.  I managed to lose 12.5% of my portfolio. Ugh!  This market hasn’t been to kind to my high growth stock picks.  With a month left for 2011 I’m downgrading my outcome to finish in the black for the year compared to my original goal of a 10% gain on the year.  Europe destroyed my chances.  Even though today we had a major market rally the volatility is still on the table.  Stocks are extremely unstable unless you invested in solid dividend paying companies.

Now I’m not saying my picks won’t work, but to come back 26.79% with roughly a month to go is next to impossible!  My only shot would be to choose one of my picks and let it ride for the next 30 days. Hmm… LOL!  That actually sounds pretty enticing.  Here is what I’m up against to pull off this highly not recommended strategy. 

Including the big move today the end of year goal is set at +21.15% ($421.08 to be exact) now let’s compare the options

After transaction fees of $21.00 I will have a purchasing power $2353.49 to work with today’s closing prices

Current price purchasing power

WFT-168 shares at $13.96

WPRT-86 shares at $27.21

AAPL-6 shares at $376.12

To obtain my goal

WFT must close at $16.59 a share

WPRT must close at $32.36 a share

AAPL must close at $449.80 a share

All of my options have to move fast!

Now the hard part...

Should I choose the turnaround story, much approved, higher oil price beneficiary known as Weatherford International (WFT)

Or-

The high price energy alternative, double digit growth, and more than enough business for years to come also referred to as Westport Innovations (WPRT)

And lastly-

Apple (AAPL) The company that brings the greatest gifts for the holiday, the highest profit margins per cell phone, and a stock that has yet to see the true potential sales of its iPhone 4S

As of today my decision will be a mystery if I choose to go all in.  For the next month my portfolio results will be offline until the end of the year.  I have some choices to make and a lot of work to reach a 21.15% return by year end.  Wish me luck!

Have a great night! 

Clay-

“When in doubt buy more!”

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT)
Westport Innovations (WPRT)

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Monster Portfolio Week 45 Results


MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011



Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 44 11/18/11
$2,458.08
$4.95 Cash
Total $2,463.03

Since Inception: -6.70%

Back out cash inflow and we have a balance of $1,857.53

Well I tried! I recommended buying Westport Innovations (WPRT) 2 weeks ago and the gains have been totally wiped out.  On a positive note at least you can buy the stock cheaper.  I’m beyond upset of the stock market action over the past 5 days.  It seems nothing is working.  Yes there are some stocks that didn’t go down as much as others, but who wants to play that game?  I want to make money!  Not stand still spinning my wheels. 

I thought last week was a turning point for a lot of the growth stocks.  Most of the earnings have been reported and the numbers were actually quite good.  Then Europe hit the headlines and the fear of a global slowdown was back on the table.  Europe is the major reason stocks are unable to go higher.  The lack of European leadership has made investors very apprehensive.  On top of that the Super Committee couldn’t come up with a concrete plan to reduce the United States debt load.  $16+ trillion in debt is absurd.  I’m beginning to think Politicians are just a bunch of goons!  When you mess with my stock market your popularity points decrease rapidly. I’m not a happy camper!  My recommendation is to ride out your current holdings until the macro economic problems are resolved.  There is no use to try to time the market as the reversal in momentum will pass you by.  I can’t afford to miss any big upside moves for the rest of the year.  I’m aggressive and will be fully invested and active until the end of 2011.  My goal to have a 10% gain on the year is quickly approaching.

-I still really like Westport and I plan on picking up more in my other accounts.

-Apple (AAPL) stock is at ridiculous prices.  They are best in show and the Christmas season is here.  Nothing competes with the iPad.  I don’t care what anyone says! Buy this stock.

- Weatherford (WFT) was taken back down 16.65% over the past 10 trading days.  I believe this is short lived as I bought last Wednesday in the high 15’s.  I didn’t get the best price, but at least I’m in. Remember I’m confident in all of my stock picks as I invest my own hard earned money.  If you make money so do I and vise versa.

-If your worried about the volatility stick to dividend paying companies. 

Have a great night! 

Clay-

“When in doubt buy more!”

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT)
Westport Innovations (WPRT)


Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Monster Portfolio Week 44 Results


MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011


Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 43 11/11/11
$2,495.64 Stock
$19.92 Cash
Total $2,510.56

Since Inception: -4.29%

Back out cash inflow and we have a balance of $1,905.06

Well I hope some of you read my piece on Westport Innovations (WPRT) last week!  In the last 5 days the stock has surged +10.79%.  Most of the gains came from today, but who’s counting. LOL! Money is money.  It’s definitely exciting to see a stock move rather quickly, but as many of you may know I always tend to sell into a big move like today.  Westport closed up +8.59% just a few minutes ago as I had the day off.  This means I was able to watch this stock blow up today.  Very exciting!

I was very busy today as I purchased more Apple (AAPL) as I believe the stock price is currently undervalued.  I also picked up some Westport in my other accounts.  Then as the day went on I ended up selling a portion of my Westport holdings in my Monster Portfolio.  The main reason is that I won’t be able to watch my accounts over the next few days due to limited internet access.  I would hate to come back on Sunday to see my portfolio lower because I failed to sell some of my stock.  

I just found out the recent surge in Westport may have something to do with a tax credit plan.  See for yourself.  http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Clean-Energy-Supports-bw-4144486892.html?x=0&l=1

It appears the tax credit for natural gas vehicles has been put back into play, which adds tremendous value to Westport.  Although, Westport moved rather dramatically I can almost bet that this trend will continue for another few days.  My recommendation is to watch the volume and if you see the stock waiver at all I would sell into strength. 

P.S.  For those of you who are looking for a great dividend yield I also picked up some Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) last week in my IRA.  Currently the dividend yield is at 6.20%.  This stock is great for people who like to sleep well at night. LOL!

(All research was done at yahoo finance)

Have a great night! 

Clay-

“When in doubt buy more!”

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT) (Sit tight with WFT it will go up eventually)
Westport Innovations (WPRT)

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

Positive Westport Research-Week 43 Results



MONSTER PORTFOLIO 2011


Balance: Inception 01/07/11
$1977.32 Stock
$13.65 Cash
Total $1990.97

Balance: End of Week 42 11/04/11
$1,506.28 Stock
$1,059.87 Cash
Total $2,566.15

Since Inception: -1.52%

Back out cash inflow and we have a balance of $1,960.65 

Stocks are extremely resilient over the past few days!  I’ve seen a lot of strength in the energy sector with oil reaching $96.87 a barrel.  This is the strength I have been looking for.  The overwhelming need for energy brings Westport Innovations (WPRT) back into mind. 

I know I haven’t covered WPRT in quite some time, but you can’t deny the fact that Westport has been performing extremely well announcing big name deals with Caterpillar, Shell, GM, and Ford.  WPRT has also made some strategic acquisitions and Chesapeake/Clean Energy announced it plans on investing $300 million into LNG refueling infrastructure.  That being said a small $1.33 Billion company like Westport has plenty of room for growth. 

Westport’s recent earnings announcement had a lot of good information indicating that Westport sees strong growth continuing on into 2012.  The CEO David Demers sees 2011 as a tipping point for Westport.  Other positive remarks are as followed

-record revenue for the quarter of $80.2 million
-80% Growth year over year in revenue
-raised guidance on the year to generate $240-$250 million in revenue
-record revenues for the CWI business unit with $49.2 million in sales
-shipments of 85 Westport HD units up from 19
-expectation of more HD units to ship in the 4th qtr

The list above is just a glimpse of what I researched from Westport’s earnings.  I wish I had the opportunity to ride this big move since I have been out of WPRT since July 6th when the stock closed at $24.55, but once it took off I never saw a chance to get back in.  Now is the time as the stock is well of its 52 week high of $34.23.  17.67% off the high to be exact!  I will be looking for another chance to buy even more WPRT very soon. 

My last piece of evidence that Westport is going higher is what the CEO David Demers had to say about the investment of LNG infrastructure in regards to Chesapeake, Clean Energy and Shell.  Here is what he had to say “That’s a lot of infrastructure, a lot of fuel and there’s going to have to be a lot of trucks to use up that much fuel.”  That is all I needed to hear.

Have a great night! 

Clay-

“When in doubt buy more!”

(All research was derived from Yahoo Finance and Westport.com)

Current Holdings:
Apple (AAPL)
Cosi Inc. (COSI)
Weatherford International (WFT)
Westport Innovations (WPRT)

Monday, November 7, 2011

Portfolio Trade Action! WPRT

I bought some Westport Innovations (WPRT) today!  I tried to pick some up on Friday, but my order came in a little low and I missed about a 6% price move.  I listened to Westport's conference call last week and I really liked what they had to say.  I'll explain a few details tomorrow. 

Weatheford (WFT) up 3.03% today. Keep the money flowing!  Although I decreased my stake in WFT I'm still very happy with the outcome.

Clay-